Another Diebold impossibility in CA

From: David Mertz <voting-project_at_gnosis_dot_cx>
Date: Tue Oct 21 2003 - 00:16:59 CDT



Wednesday, October 08, 2003

Long-shot candidates do startlingly well in Tulare County


My friend in South Carolina writes:

I ran a number crunch of CA counties that use Diebold machines to
cast/count votes and found some weird figures that show a skim of votes
from top candidates to people who were unlikely to affect the outcome.
I did my hand calculator work on the California election results (from
the secretary of state's site) when 96% of precincts had reported. The
website showed:

Counties using Diebold Touchscreens: Alemeda, Plumas

Counties using Diebold Optiscan: Fresno, Humboldt, Kern, Lassen, Marin,
Placer, San Joaquin, San Luis Obispo, Santa Barbara, Trinity, Tulare.

There were a total of 1,403,375 votes cast in these counties combined.
The CA total was 7,842,630 at this stage of the count. Thus 17.89% of
all the state votes were cast/counted on Diebold equipment.

I had earlier noticed some lower order candidates (ones who couldn't
affect the result) were getting unusually large numbers of votes in
Tulare county. I decided to test to see if the these and other 'fringe'
candidates might be used to receive skimmed votes in other Diebold

Method: I added all the votes cast/counted on Diebold equipment for
each candidate and expressed it as a percentage of their total votes
cast state wide. The following table lists: Candidate name, votes
counted for them in Diebold counties, CA state total votes counted for
that candidate and what percentage of that candidate's total votes were
counted in Diebold counties.

It looks like, as one might expect, at the top of the list as if there
is a slight variance from an even state wide distribution. However many
'lower ticket' candidates have vote totals that ONLY correlate with the
use of Diebold equipment! I have included some names chosen at random
from the result list that show that not all lower order candidates were
used to receive skimmed votes. Note that Diebold's counties are spread
geographically over the whole of California.

I have checked background on the skewed result candidates and they are
not residents of the counties where they got very high percentage
results. In one case, Palmieri, the candidate was surprised to hear
about Tulare county (I emailed him) and had not been there nor had
family or friends there. In fact, his platform was "Don't vote for me."
He described this vote pattern as "strange."

State total 7,842,630. Cast in Diebold counties 1,403,375 17.89% of the
total votes cast.

Schwarzenegger 581,145 3,552,787 16.36%

Bustamante 447,008 2,379,740 18.78%

McLintock 186,923 979,234 19.08%

Camejo 39,199 207,270 18.9%

Huffington 7,498 42,131 17.79%

Ueberoth 3365 21378 15.74%

Flynt 2384 15010 15.88%

Coleman 1869 12443 15.02%

Simon 1351 7648 17.66%

Palmieri 2542 3717 68.3%

Louie 598 3198 18.7%

Kunzman 1957 2133 91.75%

Roscoe 325 1941 16.7%

Sprague 1026 1576 65.10%

Macaluso 592 1504 39.36%

Price 477 1011 47.18%

Quinn 220 433 50.8%

Martorana 165 420 39.28%

Gosse 60 419 14.3%

Based on the very unlikely distribution of votes for some candidates (a
meteor hit my car twice this week sort of odds) a hand count of the
affected counties to compare with the machine reported count should be
done. This would show that the machines had been tampered with to alter
the results. As we already know, it is not possible to audit
touchscreen machines because Diebold refuse to allow printing of a
ballot to be placed in a box as a back up for use in just such an
apparent tampering with votes.

For those who are unsure of figures:

California is huge and has a population similar to many European
nations. Lower order candidates had little or no ability to spread any
sort of message to parts of the state beyond their own home and/or where
they have previously lived. One would expect some of the 'fringe'
candidates to do well in their home county and then to have a very even
distribution across the rest of the state. That is not the case. In
Diebold counties (those who use machines made by Diebold, a corporation
that supports George Bush) the results are skewed towards low scoring
candidates by unbelievably large amounts.

The probability of scoring twice the expected average county % could
charitably be construed as the upper limit of the possible. Some
candidates exceed that figure in Diebold counties by a four or five fold
margin. If you have done statistics, you know that is so far beyond
what might be expected that you would reject it as defective data. If
it happened to one candidate in this election, I would be surprised but
might accept it. There are a large number of candidates who have this
same systematic pattern of receiving skimmed votes.

The California recall shows Diebold trying to affect the election
outcome by moving votes from high ranked candidates to low ranked

By doing this, Diebold keep the total number of votes cast constant but
rob some candidate of their votes. Before anyone makes this a partisan
issue - it could be a Republican victim next time.
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Received on Fri Oct 31 23:17:02 2003

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