Re: (no subject)

From: Arthur Keller <arthur_at_kellers_dot_org>
Date: Thu Nov 18 2004 - 16:25:31 CST

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BuzzFlash News Analysis Update: Study released Thursday indicates the
probability is that electronic voting machines
may have awarded 130,000 - 260,000 or
more in excess votes to Bush in Florida

November 18, 2004

A BUZZFLASH NEWS ANALYSIS

BuzzFlash was a telephone media participant in a 10 AM (Pacific Time),
November 18th, news conference conducted by the Survey Research Center of the
University of California at Berkeley.[LINK] This is our report.

A research team at UC Berkeley reported Thursday morning that irregularities
associated with electronic voting machines may have awarded 130,000 - 260,000
or more in excess votes to President George W. Bush in Florida in the 2004
presidential election. The study showed an
unexplained discrepancy between votes
for President Bush in counties where electronic voting machines were used
versus counties using traditional voting methods.

Discrepancies this large or larger rarely arise by chance -- the probability
is less than 0.1 percent. The research team, led by Sociology Professor
Michael Hout, formally disclosed the results of
the study at a press conference and
called for an immediate investigation by Florida officials

“The three counties where the voting anomalies were most prevalent were also
the most heavily Democratic counties, not the [conservative] Dixiecrat
counties you’ve all heard about before, but the
more heavily Democratic counties that
used e-vote technology, including Broward, Palm Beach, and Miami-Dade
counties in order of magnitude,” said Professor Hout.

The statistical patterns in counties that did not have e-touch voting
machines predicted a 28,000 vote decrease in
President Bush’s share of the 2004 vote
in Broward County, but the machines actually tallied an increase of 51,000
votes for a net gain of 81,000 votes for the President.

With the research team’s statistical model, it was expected that President
Bush should have lost 8,900 votes in Palm Beach County but instead he gained
41,000, a difference of 49,900 votes.

And President Bush should have gained only 18,000 votes in Miami-Dade County
but in fact gained 37,000, for a difference of 19,300 votes.

“The disparity in favor of the incumbent President Bush cannot be explained
away by other factors. The study shows that counties that used electronic
voting resulted in disproportionate increases of votes for the President,” said
Professor Hout.

Furthermore, statistical adjustments for the size of the counties, the number
of votes cast, income, ethnicity and other factors, do not explain or account
for the discrepancy why the President received so many votes in heavily
democratic counties that used electronic voting.

Hout made this appeal: “For the sake of all future elections involving
electronic voting, someone needs to explain the
statistical anomalies that we found
in Florida. We’re calling on officials in Florida to take up this task and to
take action now.”

A BUZZFLASH NEWS ANALYSIS

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At 1:22 PM -0800 11/18/04, Edmund R. Kennedy wrote:
><http://electionlawblog.org/archives/002453.html>http://electionlawblog.org/archives/002453.html
>
>Not a lot of detail yet, By the way, this is a useful Blog.
>
>Thanks, Ed Kennedy
>
>
>
>--
>10777 Bendigo Cove
>San Diego, CA 92126-2510
>
>"We must all cultivate our gardens." Candide-Voltaire
>
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>Send requests to subscribe or unsubscribe to arthur@openvotingconsortium.org

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Received on Tue Nov 30 23:17:36 2004

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