Re: [EILeg] [ei] Re: A 3-Step Audit Protocol w/ 99% confidence

From: Arthur Keller <voting_at_kellers_dot_org>
Date: Fri Jan 26 2007 - 13:26:05 CST

At 9:20 AM -0500 1/25/07, VerifiedVote2004@aol.com wrote:
>In a message dated 1/25/07 7:34:32 AM, ginnypdx@comcast.net writes:
>
>>Maximum assumed vote shift percentage per precinct is the largest vote
>>shift (as a percentage of the total votes cast in the race to be
>>audited) on a single PCT that could be switched from one candidate to
>>another without being detectable by observation alone. This value will
>>be used, along with the Margin, to determine the Smallest Tabulation
>>Error to Reverse an Electoral Outcome (STEREO). For example, if 20% of
>>the total votes in a single PCT could be switched between two candidates
>>without being detectable by observation alone, five corrupt PCTs would
>>be required to switch the equivalent of all the votes cast on a single PCT.
>>
>
>
> Sorry folks, but I've got to weigh in on this one. Can anyone
>read the paragraph above without the words "fudge factor" forming in
>their mind?

Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.
Arthur C. Clarke, "Profiles of The Future", 1961 (Clarke's third law)
English physicist & science fiction author (1917 - )
http://www.quotationspage.com/quote/776.html

Just because you don't understand the mathematics or science behind
it does not make the mathematics or science any less valid.

Best regards,
Arthur

-- 
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Arthur M. Keller, Ph.D., 3881 Corina Way, Palo Alto, CA  94303-4507
tel +1(650)424-0202, fax +1(650)424-0424

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Received on Tue Jan 1 14:12:49 2008

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