Re: [EILeg] [ei] Re: A 3-Step Audit Protocol w/ 99% confidence

From: Arthur Keller <voting_at_kellers_dot_org>
Date: Fri Jan 26 2007 - 13:26:05 CST

At 9:20 AM -0500 1/25/07, wrote:
>In a message dated 1/25/07 7:34:32 AM, writes:
>>Maximum assumed vote shift percentage per precinct is the largest vote
>>shift (as a percentage of the total votes cast in the race to be
>>audited) on a single PCT that could be switched from one candidate to
>>another without being detectable by observation alone. This value will
>>be used, along with the Margin, to determine the Smallest Tabulation
>>Error to Reverse an Electoral Outcome (STEREO). For example, if 20% of
>>the total votes in a single PCT could be switched between two candidates
>>without being detectable by observation alone, five corrupt PCTs would
>>be required to switch the equivalent of all the votes cast on a single PCT.
> Sorry folks, but I've got to weigh in on this one. Can anyone
>read the paragraph above without the words "fudge factor" forming in
>their mind?

Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.
Arthur C. Clarke, "Profiles of The Future", 1961 (Clarke's third law)
English physicist & science fiction author (1917 - )

Just because you don't understand the mathematics or science behind
it does not make the mathematics or science any less valid.

Best regards,

Arthur M. Keller, Ph.D., 3881 Corina Way, Palo Alto, CA  94303-4507
tel +1(650)424-0202, fax +1(650)424-0424

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Received on Tue Jan 1 14:12:49 2008

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