From: Ginny Ross <ginnypdx_at_comcast_dot_net>

Date: Tue Jan 23 2007 - 19:05:35 CST

Date: Tue Jan 23 2007 - 19:05:35 CST

(This is from a post on another list. I do not know how it would work

in a state where we do not use precincts like Oregon. ~GR)

The Protocol:

The following is a variable-percentage, fixed (99%) confidence level

audit applicable to all Federal elections. If there are enough corrupt

precincts to alter the outcome of a contest, this protocol has 99%

certainty of finding at least one. This shall be used in conjunction

with trigger(s) for additional audits or full hand recounts:

A Precinct-Count Tabulator (PCT) is a DRE or Optical Scan voting device

by which votes are counted at a polling place. The following procedure,

which can be promulgated by law or regulation, will detect a corrupt PCT

if there are enough corrupt PCTs to change the outcome of an election

with at least 99% certainty.

1. The minimum number of PCTs to change the outcome of any election as

reported by the voting system shall be calculated as follows: For each

race in any federal election, the Margin in votes reported by the voting

system shall be calculated. All PCTs used in each race shall be sorted

by the total number of votes recorded in said race by each PCT in the

voting system, starting with the PCT with the highest vote count for

said race and ending with the PCT with the lowest vote count for

said race (i.e., in descending order). Using the PCT vote counts sorted

in descending order, the minimum number of PCTs containing at least one

half the number of votes obtained by dividing the Margin by the maximum

assumed vote shift percentage per PCT shall be determined. The resulting

minimum number of PCTs (minCorr) that could change the outcome of the

race shall be used in the following equation, along with the total

number of PCTs used in said race (totPCT), to determine the number of

PCTs to audit for said race.

2. The number of PCTs to be audited in each race (audPCT) shall be equal

to: totPCT x (1 - e^(- 4.6 / minCorr)) rounded down to the next lesser

integer, where totPCT is the total number of PCTs, minCorr is the

minimum number of corrupt PCTs to change the outcome, e is the standard

mathematical constant approximately 2.718, and ^ is the exponentiation

operator.

3. Each county or equivalent jurisdiction shall audit its pro rata share

of the total number of PCTs to be audited for each race (audPCT), as

determined by multiplying the quotient of the number of PCTs in said

race which reside in said jurisdiction divided by the total number of

PCTs used in said race in their entirety and rounding the product up to

the next greater integer.

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Received on Tue Jan 1 14:12:47 2008

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