4-tiered election audit proposal

From: Kathy Dopp <kathy_dot_dopp_at_gmail_dot_com>
Date: Sun Jan 21 2007 - 14:37:46 CST


This four-tier election audit proposal is much more effective (higher
probabilities) and efficient (fewer vote counts to audit when
candidate margins are between 0.5% to 5%) than the 3-tier election
audit proposal I sent you earlier.

I hope that the folks at the Brennan Center, whose Larry Norden first
originated the idea of tiered audits, and others will urge Holt to
adopt something similar as part of his bill because this is a
compromise that makes calculating audit amounts that would ensure
election outcome integrity as easy as it could possibly be for
election officials and auditors.

See the short word doc (perhaps soon a pdf) and play with the
spreadsheet to see if you can find a better 4-tier audit plan. (You
would need to adjust row 7 formulas.)


This is a great compromise proposal between last session's Holt audit
proposal of a flat insufficient 2% and audits designed with a fixed
high probability of detecting vote miscount.

The probabilities for detecting vote miscount that could alter an
election are likely to be, in practice, higher than those calculated
(see chart #2 on page 2) because my calculations assume that vote
miscount could always be targeted to the fewest number of vote counts
necessary to swing an election outcome.

This would be a HUGE step forward towards ensuring election outcome
integrity from where we are today, and would substantially ensure that
correctly elected candidates were sworn into office if done correctly
in an independent, verifiable, transparent way as advised in our
earlier recommendations:

I hope that all the election integrity activists will support this
HUGE increase in the number of vote counts that are 100% hand counted,
over the hopelessly insufficient practices in place today.

Isn't it time that scientfic measures were adopted to ensure the
integrity of US election outcomes? The well-being of our entire world
depends on the integrity of U.S. elections.

Kathy Dopp
National Election Data Archive
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Received on Tue Jan 1 14:12:46 2008

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